Nearly all firms will miss net zero goals without at least doubling rate of emissions reductions by 2030

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While more than one-third (34%) of the world’s largest companies say they are now committed to Net Zero1, nearly all (93%) will fail to achieve their goals if they don’t at least double the pace of emissions reduction by 2030, according to a new report from consulting firm Accenture.

Based on an analysis of commitments to emissions reduction and data from the 2000 largest public and private companies around the world, “Accelerating Global Companies toward Net Zero by 2050” finds that growing energy price inflation and supply insecurity is pushing commitments out of reach, even as more companies in every region are setting clear and publicly visible decarbonization goals, with a record rise in the number of corporate targets validated by the Science-Based Targets initiative (SBTi) this year alone. Moreover, 84% of companies plan to increase investments in their sustainability initiatives before the end of 20222.

The report finds that acceleration toward net-zero will require ‘carbon intelligence’ capabilities that enable organizations to control, improve, and drive value-creation by embedding carbon and broader ESG intelligence into their core businesses and across their value chains. This includes integrating carbon, energy, and other sustainability data and insights into financial and operational business information to help drive everyday decision-making.

“Amid global economic, political and environmental disruption, more companies than ever before have publicly committed to largely decarbonizing by around 2050. This heightened ambition is encouraging, but it is also clear that a steep acceleration of emission reductions is required,” said Jean-Marc Ollagnier, CEO of Accenture for Europe. “Maximizing value from mature technologies, such as digital and certain renewable energies, while accelerating the deployment of breakthrough solutions like hydrogen will be critical. Most importantly, reaching net zero will require urgent and profound transformations, as it is about embedding sustainability into everything organizations do, redefining their purpose, culture, and business models.”

Despite the commitments made, however, only 7% of companies are on track to achieve their net zero targets for scope 1 and 2 emissions at the observed rates of change. Moving targets to 2050 increases that share just slightly to a mere 8%. Even in a scenario where companies accelerate emissions reduction to twice the current rates in the years to 2030 and then three times after – 59% would still fail by 2050; the deadline deemed necessary to avert the most catastrophic and irreversible impacts of climate change.

“To move at the speed and scale required by science and economics, it will be critical for businesses to develop multiple ‘carbon intelligence’ capabilities at the same time,” said Mauricio Bermudez-Neubauer, global lead for carbon strategy & intelligence at Accenture. “This means integrating decision-ready carbon data and insights across their systems and processes, enabling efficient use of financial and non-financial resources along with sound risk management in deploying the digital, biological and industrial technologies that will be necessary to attain net zero.”

A net zero transition must include every part of the business, and decarbonization can’t be done without a combination of digital and physical technology to make sense of carbon data and act on it with confidence.

“Now is perhaps a tougher time to be a CEO than any stage in the recent past, in particular, attempting to square the circle between sustainability commitments, inflationary and recessionary pressures and the need to deliver both shareholder and stakeholder value,” said Peter Lacy, Accenture’s global Sustainability Services lead and chief responsibility officer. “This report – while extremely worrying with regards to the delivery trajectory on Net Zero – shows a clear pathway for companies to create value and impact at a time when capital markets, governments, and other organizations will create even more pressure to deliver on targets set through transparency, comparability, and consistency.”

Notes
[1] Defined as covering direct emissions from owned or controlled sources (Scope 1); indirect emissions from the generation of purchased electricity, steam, heating and cooling consumed by the reporting company (Scope 2); and all other indirect emissions that occur in a company’s value chain (Scope 3).
[2] Accenture CXO survey, June 2022